COVID-19 news & status

Thank you Rig

Week 21 Stats:

Thank you Rig.

Our capital city has moved to level two, after a visitor from Sydney spent the weekend visiting all the tourist spots before going home to Australia and then testing positive to Covid.

Big sigh.

This is liable to increase everyone's vigilance with scanning and uptake of the vaccination schedule. The aim is everyone done by the end of the year.

Big sigh indeed. Sounds like an over reaction to me.
We are Memphis TN for the week and have not seen a single mask at our convention and have only seen a very few out in public.at stores and restaurants.

Things are so all over the place here. Most stores you don't need masks if you been vax. However, the pet food store still requires them and the library does as well. Just have to have one on hand just in case everywhere.

Week 23 data:

Wow your Linear Regression is almost spot on with YTD Total Deaths. Thanks for posting once again.

I hope this doesn't post twice, but it seemed to disappear.

It will get less "spot on" as the weeks go by and CDC gets more death data for week 23. The delay in getting data posted is a constant irritant as the latest week's info is always 50-75% of what it is when it stabilizes in a month or so. The column I'm finding very interesting now is the YTD Deaths Other than Covid. Next week I'll show my full sheet of historical data, this column is running lower now than any year since around 2014. I think that says something, not exactly sure what. I think the main options are: A. We are more healthy in general, possibly from physical isolation. B. Deaths from Covid are (and have been) over reported.

It will be interesting to see the data. Thank you for compiling all of this information.

Wk 24 Stats: I'm showing all the history data here. Check the "Deaths other than Covid" columns and match back against prior years total deaths data.


Interesting (to me) stuff on Ohio. Since the first of 2020, Ohio has had 1,112,499 reported Covid cases. That is almost, but not quite, 10% of our population count.
Give your "younguns" the shot? For age <19, IF they catch it, there is about 1% chance they may go to the hospital, and .046% chance of death.
The age group > 80 still represents over half the reported Covid deaths. If you are under 60 there is a .72% chance that IF you catch it, you will die.




Meanwhile, Has your college age student had all their shots? I saw my first ad for the Meningitis "B" vaccine yesterday.

I find the stats interesting in that as of today, we have had less deaths other than covid than we've had in 5 years or so.

Yes, exactly the point. Remember, no Covid prior to 2020 and deaths in the US excluding Covid are lower this year than any year since 2015, despite a steadily growing population. I don't look at the last 4 or so weeks because the CDC data is still changing in significant numbers, I look at the older stuff because it is pretty stable. So what does that tell you about Covid and/or deaths being reported as Covid? I know what it tells me, but you decide. Just overnight we are obviously living longer and are more healthy than in previous years, right?

I see exactly what you are saying. If you use the liner regression, then only 1/2 or less of reported Covid deaths actually belong in that column. At least it looks that way to me. I'm not a stats person per se, but that sticks out to me.

Week 25 stats

Thank you Rig.

Week 26 data:

Thank you Rig

It will be interesting to see what the numbers do with the increased positivity due to variant D.

I agree Pedi.

In a list of interesting co-ink-a-dinks:
CDC announce it will abandon PCR test at eoy 2021:CDC to dump PCR
And why did it do so? How about it gives erroneous results?  Why dump PCR
I'm sure in totally unrelated announcements:
NIH selects Mologic's Covid at home antigen test: (article pub 7/4) https://cambridgenetwork.co.uk/news/mologic%E2%80%99s-covid-19-rapid-antigen-self-test-selected-nih-radx-initiative-funding
Gates/Soros buy Mologic (article pub 7/19) Mologic bought

Week 27 Stats:

Thanks for the info Rig. Didn't get to the links tonight - too late.

DDK passes on the interesting fact that her guy E, who is a physician's assistant practicing near Eugene OR, is seeing a number of new Covid cases -- most of them have had the jab.

Variant D cases are on the rise. Those who had the shot are having a milder form and are able to stay at home to recover. Those who have not had the shot are in the hospital. Of course there are exceptions on both sides. This is similar to what we see with flu, especially when we do not predict which strain will be prominent for the vaccine.

Was speaking with a neighbor tonight who just got past Covid. She had her shots months ago - Moderna. She know of others who caught it from her before she knew she had it, of the ones she knows what they had, they had Moderna.

I'd love to see what percentages of those with breakthrough has which vaccine. It would be interesting information.